Global Perspectives - Antonia Colibasanu

Archives for Uncategorized

Five years ago, a coup attempt in Turkey would have had a totally different impact on regional affairs than it does today. From about 90$/barrel in 2011 the oil price dropped to about $50/barrel in 2016. This has translated into a relative weakening of the producing countries (like Russia) while consumers have seen their power… » read more

Posted by Antonia Colibasanu

The Trans-Pacific Partnership was signed on Feb. 4 in Auckland. The TPP member states account for around 40% of the global economy and each have now two years to ratify or reject the agreement. This was to be expected and it is therefore not a geopolitical event. However, it is anticipated that media – and… » read more

Posted by Antonia Colibasanu

by Matthias Dalig, Antonia Colibasanu Turkish Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu announced on Dec. 3 that Turkey and Azerbaijan will accelerate the TANAP project so that the natural gas pipeline be completed before 2018. This follows the mounting tensions between Russia and Turkey, as Ankara seeks to diminish the country’s dependence on Russian energy imports. Turkish… » read more

Posted by Antonia Colibasanu

The Munich Security Conference’s theme for 2015 was the question “Collapsing Order, Reluctant Guardians?”. On this background, the main topic discussed during the event was Ukraine. A few days later after the conference ended, on Feb. 12, negotiations on Ukraine conflict completed in what the media calls the Minsk Agreement 2.0, giving a feeling of… » read more

Posted by Antonia Colibasanu

The German paper Süddeutsche Zeitung reported July 9 that the German criminal police have searched the Berlin apartment of a second man thought to be spying for the CIA. The first such case under investigation was reported in local German media on July 2 and got to the international (English) media on July 4. On… » read more

Posted by Antonia Colibasanu

On the Edges of the EU

Ukraine has drawn a great deal of international coverage this month. The events in Ukraine in many ways illustrate broader geopolitical trends unfolding in the region. During the past few weeks, Germany has shown an assertive stance, supporting opposition groups and protesters in Kiev to Russia’s apparent irritation. Berlin’s moves in Ukraine accompany calls by… » read more

Posted by Antonia Colibasanu

Coup in Egypt?

During the few last days, the events in Egypt have dominated the media attention worldwide. Stratfor found that just a few minutes ago Egyptian President Mohammed Morsi has been reportedly isolated and transferred to a Defense Ministry site, even if this is yet unconfirmed. If the army indeed has taken action, this is a military… » read more

Posted by Antonia Colibasanu

The protests in Turkey have decreased in size and intensity since the weekend, but because Stratfor considers Turkey a key country, we have published a document – and shared it with readers – outlining the guidance our analysts should follow in tracking the protests. I decided that my blog followers should also get a glimpse… » read more

Posted by Antonia Colibasanu

The transformation currently taking place within the European Union not only casts doubt on the future of the bloc, but it also brings to the forefront elements that redefine the notion of country risk. The conditions Brussels has attached to its assistance to Cyprus have opened a discussion on how much control a country’s government… » read more

Posted by Antonia Colibasanu

The last weeks have been all about Gaza and the Middle East. While that region remains key in international affairs, the old Europe proved to have interesting news as well recently. The European Commission said that Scotland would have to apply for membership, according to a report in The Scotsman newspaper. This statement came as… » read more

Posted by Antonia Colibasanu