Global Perspectives - Antonia Colibasanu

Archives for Global Europe

Watching Ukraine

The situation in Ukraine has become critical. As events unfold and the flow of information increases, here is a Stratfor-inspired guide to assessing what is important: While it is hard to establish where violence is coming from, its perpetrators have tactical gains in mind, such as “buying up time” or “disturbing momentum.” Therefore it is… » read more

Posted by Antonia Colibasanu

On the Edges of the EU

Ukraine has drawn a great deal of international coverage this month. The events in Ukraine in many ways illustrate broader geopolitical trends unfolding in the region. During the past few weeks, Germany has shown an assertive stance, supporting opposition groups and protesters in Kiev to Russia’s apparent irritation. Berlin’s moves in Ukraine accompany calls by… » read more

Posted by Antonia Colibasanu

In his book “The Next Decade – where we’ve been and where we’re going”, George Friedman said that “In the next decade, the most desirable option with Iran is going to be delivered through a move that now (2010) seems inconceivable. It is the option chosen by Roosevelt and Nixon when they faced seemingly impossible… » read more

Posted by Antonia Colibasanu

The foreign ministers of Russia, China and India met Nov. 10 on the sidelines of the Asia-Europe Meeting. The ministers talked about terrorism, Afghanistan and the Middle East, and they discussed coordinating their positions for the upcoming WTO meeting in Bali. The media has offered scant coverage of the summit. News of a meeting between… » read more

Posted by Antonia Colibasanu

Last time I wrote, I was wondering whether an intervention in Syria is possible. It turns out that it was not. As Stratfor forecast at the beginning of the year, the Syrian chemical weapons issue turned out being the wild card that would challenge the U.S. policy of restraint, which has been defined by the… » read more

Posted by Antonia Colibasanu

The United States has started building the case for a military intervention in Syria, and Stratfor believes that the decision to intervene will be made soon. On Aug. 26 U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry started Washington’s public relations campaign for the intervention by describing videos of children suffering from the al Assad regime’s chemical… » read more

Posted by Antonia Colibasanu

Two events happened today that I believe will define the week at the global level. First, numerous media organizations have rushed to announce that the EU crisis is over following the release of statistics today by Eurostat saying that the EU is no longer in recession. After reading the numbers on growth, it seems that… » read more

Posted by Antonia Colibasanu

Some days ago a friend who was reading Ryszard Kapuściński’s “Travels with Herodotus” wrote me with an inspiring paragraph from the book: “A journey, after all, neither begins in the instant we set out, nor ends when we have reached our doorstep once again. It starts much earlier and is really never over, because the… » read more

Posted by Antonia Colibasanu

Since July 3, we have seen Egypt plunge into a new period of political instability. Michael Nayebi-Oskoui argues in his recent piece that “Egypt’s military faces a difficult long-term scenario: adapt and loosen its hold on power to survive as in Algeria and Turkey, or resist and risk being overthrown as seen in the Baathist… » read more

Posted by Antonia Colibasanu