Global Perspectives - Antonia Colibasanu

Archives for Europe’s East

As the summer ends in Europe, we’re still seeing new crises unfolding, with an interesting winter coming up. Ukraine will remain a constant preoccupation of the Europeans. Gaza, Iraq and Syria are also still in the news. And there are other global developments Brussels and the EU member states must consider in the upcoming weeks.… » read more

Posted by Antonia Colibasanu

The German paper Süddeutsche Zeitung reported July 9 that the German criminal police have searched the Berlin apartment of a second man thought to be spying for the CIA. The first such case under investigation was reported in local German media on July 2 and got to the international (English) media on July 4. On… » read more

Posted by Antonia Colibasanu

The reactions of countries in Central and Eastern Europe to the potential consequences of the Ukraine crisis are restrained by the relationships between more powerful entities – namely, by the dynamics of EU-Russia, NATO-Russia and U.S.-Russia relations. The EU cannot afford to implement meaningful sanctions after Russia’s intervention in Crimea. In the Common Declaration of… » read more

Posted by Antonia Colibasanu

Besides the Ukraine crisis, there are several few other important events that should be discussed in Europe these days. Here’s my list at the end of this week. Italian banks: Two major Italian banks, UniCredit and Monte dei Paschi di Siena, announced significant losses during the final quarter of 2013. It’s important to look into… » read more

Posted by Antonia Colibasanu

Watching Ukraine

The situation in Ukraine has become critical. As events unfold and the flow of information increases, here is a Stratfor-inspired guide to assessing what is important: While it is hard to establish where violence is coming from, its perpetrators have tactical gains in mind, such as “buying up time” or “disturbing momentum.” Therefore it is… » read more

Posted by Antonia Colibasanu

On the Edges of the EU

Ukraine has drawn a great deal of international coverage this month. The events in Ukraine in many ways illustrate broader geopolitical trends unfolding in the region. During the past few weeks, Germany has shown an assertive stance, supporting opposition groups and protesters in Kiev to Russia’s apparent irritation. Berlin’s moves in Ukraine accompany calls by… » read more

Posted by Antonia Colibasanu

The foreign ministers of Russia, China and India met Nov. 10 on the sidelines of the Asia-Europe Meeting. The ministers talked about terrorism, Afghanistan and the Middle East, and they discussed coordinating their positions for the upcoming WTO meeting in Bali. The media has offered scant coverage of the summit. News of a meeting between… » read more

Posted by Antonia Colibasanu

Last time I wrote, I was wondering whether an intervention in Syria is possible. It turns out that it was not. As Stratfor forecast at the beginning of the year, the Syrian chemical weapons issue turned out being the wild card that would challenge the U.S. policy of restraint, which has been defined by the… » read more

Posted by Antonia Colibasanu